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Interest Costs Have Been Eating Up Revenue
In 2023, for the first time in history, the government spent 9% of its GDP on interest payments, which took up 80% of the government revenue. A high interest-to-revenue ratio can be severely detrimental to a country's debt sustainability. This high ratio creates a need to borrow more, undermining debt sustainability and leaving limited revenue for essential government spending and investments. The interest-to-revenue ratio has increased in recent years for two reasons. Revenue Fell Due to Tax Reductions in 2019 Government revenue as a share of GDP dropped from 12% in 2019 to 9% in 2020. This is mainly due to the newly elected government lowering several tax rates in 2019. Thus, the interest share of revenue increased to 71% in 2020 from 47% in 2019, even though the interest payments as a share of GDP remained at 6%. Interest Costs Surged Due to High Interest Rates and More Government Debt Interest expenditure as a share of GDP increased to 9% in 2023 from 6% in pre-2021. This is due to (1) the domestic interest rates skyrocketing to above 25% post-2021 from less than 10% in the prior years - mainly owing to tight monetary conditions and lack of access to foreign financing. (2) Central government debt also increased significantly from 81.9% in 2019 to 114.2% in 2022, leading to higher interest expenditure as the government had to pay more interest on the excessive debt obtained. It is also important to note that this interest figure would have been much higher if the accrued interest expenditure on defaulted foreign debt had been included.
Featured Insight
Interest Costs Have Been Eating Up Revenue
In 2023, for the first time in history, the government spent 9% of its GDP on interest payments, which took up 80% of the government revenue. A high interest-to-revenue ratio can be severely detrimental to a country's debt sustainability. This high ratio creates a need to borrow more, undermining debt sustainability and leaving limited revenue for essential government spending and investments. The interest-to-revenue ratio has increased in recent years for two reasons. Revenue Fell Due to Tax Reductions in 2019 Government revenue as a share of GDP dropped from 12% in 2019 to 9% in 2020. This is mainly due to the newly elected government lowering several tax rates in 2019. Thus, the interest share of revenue increased to 71% in 2020 from 47% in 2019, even though the interest payments as a share of GDP remained at 6%. Interest Costs Surged Due to High Interest Rates and More Government Debt Interest expenditure as a share of GDP increased to 9% in 2023 from 6% in pre-2021. This is due to (1) the domestic interest rates skyrocketing to above 25% post-2021 from less than 10% in the prior years - mainly owing to tight monetary conditions and lack of access to foreign financing. (2) Central government debt also increased significantly from 81.9% in 2019 to 114.2% in 2022, leading to higher interest expenditure as the government had to pay more interest on the excessive debt obtained. It is also important to note that this interest figure would have been much higher if the accrued interest expenditure on defaulted foreign debt had been included.
Featured Insight
Interest Costs Have Been Eating Up Revenue
In 2023, for the first time in history, the government spent 9% of its GDP on interest payments, which took up 80% of the government revenue. A high interest-to-revenue ratio can be severely detrimental to a country's debt sustainability. This high ratio creates a need to borrow more, undermining debt sustainability and leaving limited revenue for essential government spending and investments. The interest-to-revenue ratio has increased in recent years for two reasons. Revenue Fell Due to Tax Reductions in 2019 Government revenue as a share of GDP dropped from 12% in 2019 to 9% in 2020. This is mainly due to the newly elected government lowering several tax rates in 2019. Thus, the interest share of revenue increased to 71% in 2020 from 47% in 2019, even though the interest payments as a share of GDP remained at 6%. Interest Costs Surged Due to High Interest Rates and More Government Debt Interest expenditure as a share of GDP increased to 9% in 2023 from 6% in pre-2021. This is due to (1) the domestic interest rates skyrocketing to above 25% post-2021 from less than 10% in the prior years - mainly owing to tight monetary conditions and lack of access to foreign financing. (2) Central government debt also increased significantly from 81.9% in 2019 to 114.2% in 2022, leading to higher interest expenditure as the government had to pay more interest on the excessive debt obtained. It is also important to note that this interest figure would have been much higher if the accrued interest expenditure on defaulted foreign debt had been included.
Featured Insight
Interest Costs Have Been Eating Up Revenue
In 2023, for the first time in history, the government spent 9% of its GDP on interest payments, which took up 80% of the government revenue. A high interest-to-revenue ratio can be severely detrimental to a country's debt sustainability. This high ratio creates a need to borrow more, undermining debt sustainability and leaving limited revenue for essential government spending and investments. The interest-to-revenue ratio has increased in recent years for two reasons. Revenue Fell Due to Tax Reductions in 2019 Government revenue as a share of GDP dropped from 12% in 2019 to 9% in 2020. This is mainly due to the newly elected government lowering several tax rates in 2019. Thus, the interest share of revenue increased to 71% in 2020 from 47% in 2019, even though the interest payments as a share of GDP remained at 6%. Interest Costs Surged Due to High Interest Rates and More Government Debt Interest expenditure as a share of GDP increased to 9% in 2023 from 6% in pre-2021. This is due to (1) the domestic interest rates skyrocketing to above 25% post-2021 from less than 10% in the prior years - mainly owing to tight monetary conditions and lack of access to foreign financing. (2) Central government debt also increased significantly from 81.9% in 2019 to 114.2% in 2022, leading to higher interest expenditure as the government had to pay more interest on the excessive debt obtained. It is also important to note that this interest figure would have been much higher if the accrued interest expenditure on defaulted foreign debt had been included.
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Cigarette Taxation: 20 Billion Extra Revenue in 2020, if Indexation is Implemented
The Government could raise an extra Rs. 20 Billion from cigarette taxation in 2020 from the proper implementation of the indexation policy articulated in the 2019 Budget and rational calibration of taxes for all cigarette brands....
2020-06-03
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Cigarette Tax Indexation: Getting it Right and Getting it Wrong
The indexation method introduced in 2019 Budget addresses two pervasive problems in cigarette taxation: (a) lack of regularity and consistency in tax increases, and (b) failure to reduce affordability of cigarettes.
2019-08-01
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Tobacco Policy: Mitigating the Influence of Vested Interests
Sri Lanka ratified the World Health Organization’s (WHO) Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) in November 2003. The FCTC is a global treaty developed in response to t...
2018-07-31
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The Hidden Side of Cigarette Pricing
The media in Sri Lanka has often misrepresented the cigarette industry and cigarette taxes in favour of the monopoly producer Ceylon Tobacco Company (CTC). In June 2017, Verité Research (VR) pub...
2018-05-31
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Who is responsible for Alternative facts on Cigarette Taxation?
The term ‘Alternative Facts’ has come to describe ‘blatant falsehoods’ spread to the media by those in power who purposely create doubt about even obvious and easily verifiable facts. Over the last few months, the Sri...
2017-06-01
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