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Featured Insight
Maldives’ reserves continue to dip
The external reserves of the Maldives have been on a declining trend since June 2020. At that time, the gross reserves held by the Maldives Monetary Authority amounted to USD 702.5 million , sufficient to finance 5.2 months of imports. However, by September 2024, the reserves had fallen to USD 371.2 million, covering only 1.1 months of imports. This situation mirrors what happened in Sri Lanka, which faced its worst economic crisis after its usable external reserves plummeted from USD 6,695 million (6.4 months of imports) in June 2020 to USD 308 million (0.18 months of imports) by April 2022. The rapid decline forced Sri Lanka to default on its external debts due to a shortage of foreign exchange. With assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Sri Lanka is now undergoing debt restructuring, temporarily halting debt repayments and increasing foreign exchange inflows. While the Maldives' reserves are declining at a slower rate—0.08 months of import coverage lost per month compared to Sri Lanka's 0.25 months per month—the trend is still concerning. At this pace, the Maldives could face a similar crisis within the next 2 years. It is crucial for the Maldives to identify these warning signs early. Proactive measures, such as pre-emptive debt restructuring, can be less harmful than dealing with a disorderly default. Early intervention can help stabilise the economy and avoid the severe consequences as experienced in Sri Lanka.
Featured Insight
Maldives’ reserves continue to dip
The external reserves of the Maldives have been on a declining trend since June 2020. At that time, the gross reserves held by the Maldives Monetary Authority amounted to USD 702.5 million , sufficient to finance 5.2 months of imports. However, by September 2024, the reserves had fallen to USD 371.2 million, covering only 1.1 months of imports. This situation mirrors what happened in Sri Lanka, which faced its worst economic crisis after its usable external reserves plummeted from USD 6,695 million (6.4 months of imports) in June 2020 to USD 308 million (0.18 months of imports) by April 2022. The rapid decline forced Sri Lanka to default on its external debts due to a shortage of foreign exchange. With assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Sri Lanka is now undergoing debt restructuring, temporarily halting debt repayments and increasing foreign exchange inflows. While the Maldives' reserves are declining at a slower rate—0.08 months of import coverage lost per month compared to Sri Lanka's 0.25 months per month—the trend is still concerning. At this pace, the Maldives could face a similar crisis within the next 2 years. It is crucial for the Maldives to identify these warning signs early. Proactive measures, such as pre-emptive debt restructuring, can be less harmful than dealing with a disorderly default. Early intervention can help stabilise the economy and avoid the severe consequences as experienced in Sri Lanka.
Featured Insight
Maldives’ reserves continue to dip
The external reserves of the Maldives have been on a declining trend since June 2020. At that time, the gross reserves held by the Maldives Monetary Authority amounted to USD 702.5 million , sufficient to finance 5.2 months of imports. However, by September 2024, the reserves had fallen to USD 371.2 million, covering only 1.1 months of imports. This situation mirrors what happened in Sri Lanka, which faced its worst economic crisis after its usable external reserves plummeted from USD 6,695 million (6.4 months of imports) in June 2020 to USD 308 million (0.18 months of imports) by April 2022. The rapid decline forced Sri Lanka to default on its external debts due to a shortage of foreign exchange. With assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Sri Lanka is now undergoing debt restructuring, temporarily halting debt repayments and increasing foreign exchange inflows. While the Maldives' reserves are declining at a slower rate—0.08 months of import coverage lost per month compared to Sri Lanka's 0.25 months per month—the trend is still concerning. At this pace, the Maldives could face a similar crisis within the next 2 years. It is crucial for the Maldives to identify these warning signs early. Proactive measures, such as pre-emptive debt restructuring, can be less harmful than dealing with a disorderly default. Early intervention can help stabilise the economy and avoid the severe consequences as experienced in Sri Lanka.
Featured Insight
Maldives’ reserves continue to dip
The external reserves of the Maldives have been on a declining trend since June 2020. At that time, the gross reserves held by the Maldives Monetary Authority amounted to USD 702.5 million , sufficient to finance 5.2 months of imports. However, by September 2024, the reserves had fallen to USD 371.2 million, covering only 1.1 months of imports. This situation mirrors what happened in Sri Lanka, which faced its worst economic crisis after its usable external reserves plummeted from USD 6,695 million (6.4 months of imports) in June 2020 to USD 308 million (0.18 months of imports) by April 2022. The rapid decline forced Sri Lanka to default on its external debts due to a shortage of foreign exchange. With assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Sri Lanka is now undergoing debt restructuring, temporarily halting debt repayments and increasing foreign exchange inflows. While the Maldives' reserves are declining at a slower rate—0.08 months of import coverage lost per month compared to Sri Lanka's 0.25 months per month—the trend is still concerning. At this pace, the Maldives could face a similar crisis within the next 2 years. It is crucial for the Maldives to identify these warning signs early. Proactive measures, such as pre-emptive debt restructuring, can be less harmful than dealing with a disorderly default. Early intervention can help stabilise the economy and avoid the severe consequences as experienced in Sri Lanka.
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ஊழியர் சேமலாப நிதியம்
The Employee Provident Fund (EPF) is Sri Lanka's largest superannuation fund. It was established under the Act No. 15 of 1958.
The EPF is the Single Largest Holder of Government Treasury Bonds
On June 28, 2023, the Sri Lankan government unveiled its Domestic Debt Restructuring plan. A key component of this plan is the restructuring of bond holdings associated with superannuation funds, which are funds set up for retirement benefit...
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Daily Mirror
Economic uncertainty perception dragged EPF into n...
Data from the Central Bank showed that in 2023 the EPF net contribution recorded a negative value of Rs. 5.3 billion, which is a 116 percent contraction from the Rs. 31 .6 billion recorded in 2022....
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Economy Next
Sri Lanka’s EPF net contributions turn negative in...
Net contributions to Sri Lanka's Employees Provident Fund (EPF) turned negative in 2023, with refunds exceeding contributions for the first time. Demographic shifts, increased governme...
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Economy Next
Sri Lanka to pay 13.0-pct return to EPF holders fo...
EPF members will receive a 13% return on their contributions in 2023, exceeding the usual rate. Sri Lanka has achieved stable monetary conditions since September 2022, which bodes well for...
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The Presidential Commission of Inquiry th...
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The EPF is the Single Largest Holder of...
On June 28, 2023, the Sri Lankan governme...
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Public Report on the 2022 Budget: Assessment of th...
This report provides an assessment and analysis of the fiscal, financial and economic assumptions and estimates applied in the formulation of the 2022 Budget. This repo...
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Backwards in blacklisting: Enabling corruption in...
Subhashini Abeysinghe is a Research Director at Verité Research and an economist specializing in international trade. Subhashini has worked for the Ceylon Chamber of Commerce (CCC) for nearly 10 year...
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2025 Vote on Account’s revenue gains may fall shor...
On 6 December, Parliament approved the 2025 Vote on Account, allocating funds for the first four months of the year. To understand what a Vote on Account entails, read our blog
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